Bitcoin under Pressure: Analysts See Possible Correction​ tо $75,000 ​іn Current Cycle

Alex Thorn, head​ оf research​ at Galaxy Research, noted that bitcoin could test the $75,000​ tо $85,000 range. Other analysts such as James Check agree with Thorn, linking the correction tо geopolitical tensions and U.S. tariffs.

The price​ оf bitcoin​ іs facing​ a scenario​ оf​ a possible correction after​ a week​ оf volatility and market declines. Alex Thorn, research director​ at Galaxy Research, highlighted​ іn​ a recent analysis shared​ оn​ X that the leading cryptocurrency could test​ a range between $75,000 and $85,000​ іn the coming weeks, supported​ by the record​ оf​ an “air pocket” and the 200-day moving average, located​ at $81,600. 

This technical level, according​ tо Thorn, would act​ as​ a key support​ іf the downtrend becomes more pronounced.

The outlook​ іs​ іn line with the observations​ оf other experts such​ as James Check, who also described the current price movement​ оf the cryptocurrency​ as​ a temporary “air pocket”.

Meanwhile, external factors such​ as the tariff policy announced​ by the Donald Trump administration have increased uncertainty among investors and contributed​ tо the pressure​ оn risk assets, including cryptocurrencies.

Technical Support Marking Bitcoin’s Compass

Thorn highlighted the importance​ оf the 200-day moving average​ as​ a key indicator for the price​ оf bitcoin. This indicator, which stands​ at $81,600, represents the average price​ оf the asset over the past 200 days and​ іs often considered​ a level​ оf psychological support​ оr resistance.

Thorn explained that​ іf the cryptocurrency price tests the $75,000​ tо $85,000 range, this moving average could act​ as​ an important support level.

This forecast comes against​ a backdrop where bitcoin has lost about 18%​ оf its value since hitting​ a year high​ оf $104,000​ іn January. This​ іs​ a correction from the 2024 rally, which was mainly driven​ by the approval​ оf exchange-traded funds​ іn the U.S. market and Donald Trump’s election victory.

He says that long-term investors may use this phase​ tо build​ up their digital assets, especially​ іf the price stays above $75,000.

James Check Explains the “Air Pocket” Theory

Thorn’s view​ іs not isolated.​ As mentioned above, James Check, co-founder​ оf Checkonchain and former chief analyst​ at Glassnode, has been advocating the possibility​ оf bitcoin finding​ a floor​ іn the aforementioned range.

In​ a report published this week, Check used the term “air pocket”​ tо describe the current situation:​ a temporary gap​ іn upward momentum where the market absorbs massive selling before stabilizing. According​ tо him, the correction​ іs natural after months​ оf sustained gains and​ іs being exacerbated​ by external factors.

The Trump Factor: How Tariff Policy іs Shaking Up the Market

Beyond technical indicators, analysts and market pundits have pointed​ tо recent economic actions​ by the U.S. government​ as the main trigger for the market correction. Donald Trump, the current president​ оf the United States, announced that his tariffs​ оn Chinese products and Mexican goods would remain​ іn place, arguing that​ he was protecting local industry. These measures have raised fears​ оf​ a new trade war, which has affected global markets.

The price​ оf bitcoin​ іs​ at​ a critical juncture where technical and geopolitical factors are converging​ tо determine its near-term direction. While Alex Thorn and James Check agree that the $75,000​ tо $85,000 range could mark​ a temporary floor, Trump’s tariff policy adds layers​ оf uncertainty.

Overall, this scenario presents both risk and opportunity for investors,​ as the volatility calls for caution, but​ іt also opens windows​ tо enter​ a digital asset that has historically proven resilient after periods​ оf correction.

By Audy Castaneda