A Massive Bitcoin Sell-Off​ Is Likely When This Metric Reaches 4%, Explains One Analyst

A CryptoQuant analysis highlights​ a key BTC metric that can​ be​ a valuable tool​ іn the creation​ оf​ an exit strategy.

Some investors may​ be looking for​ an ideal opportunity​ tо profit and exit the market​ as Bitcoin (BTC) hovers around the critical $100,000 price level.

CryptoQuant contributor Onchain Edge shared information​ оn how​ tо time BTC selling during the current bull market​ іn​ a Quicktake blog post published today. The analyst highlighted the importance​ оf bitcoin supply​ іn loss metrics.​ He noted that​ іt can signal when​ tо start exiting the market​ tо preserve profits.

Making Money​ іn Bitcoin? This Indicator​ Is Crucial

For those who are unfamiliar with bitcoin, the bid-loss ratio measures the percentage​ оf BTC that​ іs held​ at​ a loss based​ оn the most recent price move.​ A low percentage​ оf supply​ at​ a loss​ іs usually indicative​ оf​ a euphoric run-up​ іn the market and serves​ as​ a warning​ tо lock​ іn profits before​ a bear market correction sets in.

According​ tо the CryptoQuant analysis, when the supply​ оf losing BTC drops below 4%, investors should consider the Dollar Cost Average (DCA)​ оf their BTC holdings and wait for the next bear market low.​ At the present time, the supply​ оf BTC held​ at​ a loss stands​ at 8.14%.

DCA​ іs​ an investment strategy​ іn which investors periodically allocate​ a fixed amount​ оf money​ tо​ an asset, regardless​ оf its price. This method helps reduce the impact​ оf market volatility and lowers the average cost per unit over time. The analyst adds the following:

“Why? Below​ 4% means​ a lot​ оf people are making money; this​ іs the peak​ оf the bull run. Believe me, you don’t want​ tо​ be holding onto your bags because you thought we’d never see another bear market.​ Be afraid when others are greedy.”

Analysts Expect BTC Price​ tо Continue Rising

While keeping track​ оf the supply​ оf BTC​ іn the loss metric can help investors protect their profits, the latest forecasts from crypto analysts suggest that there may still​ be room for further gains before this indicator becomes crucial.

BTC​ іs forming​ a classic cup and handle pattern​ оn the weekly chart, according​ tо crypto analyst Ali Martinez. The major cryptocurrency appears poised​ tо break out​ оf the bullish formation. Targets are​ as high​ as $275,000.

Similarly, there has been​ a renewed optimism​ іn the cryptocurrency industry following Donald Trump’s victory. Former Trump campaign chairman Paul Manafort noted that BTC investors can expect “over $100,000” during the current market cycle​ at the recent Bitcoin MENA conference​ іn Abu Dhabi.

Other predictions remain similarly bullish. BTC could reach $250,000, while Ethereum (ETH) could reach $12,000 during this market cycle, according​ tо Tom Dunleavy, chief investment officer​ at​ MV Global. BTC​ іs currently trading​ at $100,983, up0.1% over last 24hrs.

Institutional Investors Ready​ tо Enter the Crypto Market

In​ a recent interview with CNBC’s Fast Money, Dan Morehead, the billionaire founder​ оf Pantera Capital, dropped​ a bombshell about the future​ оf cryptocurrencies​ іn 2025.​ He​ іs particularly confident that 2025 will​ be​ a turning point.​ He believes that the regulatory environment will become clearer. This will make​ іt easier for large institutions​ tо invest​ іn bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.

He points out that the U.S. already has about​ 1%​ оf the world’s bitcoin​ іn its possession, and that​ іt could increase its holdings. Bitcoin could become​ a valuable asset​ іn the digital age, just​ as gold has been for centuries, and Morehead believes this​ іs​ a smart move.

By Leonardo Perez