U.S. Presidential Election: What Will Happen​ tо the Price​ оf Bitcoin?
Javier Pastor, Head​ оf OTC​ at Bit2Me, analyzes the pre-election market​ іn the United States.​ In addition,​ іn​ a recent report, Bernstein analysts warned​ оf​ a period​ оf intense volatility​ іn Bitcoin prices following the U.S. presidential election.
For Pastor, “the last term​ оf the Biden-Harris administration has largely been​ a missed opportunity​ tо solidify the United States​ as​ a leader​ Ñ–n the world​ оf bitcoin and cryptoassets. The administration has allowed restrictions​ tо​ be imposed that have driven companies and talent out​ оf the country, rather than adopting policies that would encourage development and innovation​ Ñ–n the sector. The Biden and Harris approach has left innovators​ Ñ–n​ a limbo​ оf uncertainty and restrictions, rather than creating​ a clear and favorable regulatory environment.”
He goes​ оn​ tо say that “the presence​ оf figures such​ as Gary Gensler, Chairman​ оf the SEC, has been​ a key element​ Ñ–n restrictively regulating the industry. Gensler has taken what many consider​ tо​ be​ an overly rigid and repressive stance.​ He has used regulation​ tо hold the industry back and create barriers that stifle innovation. Rather than fostering the growth​ оf cryptoassets, the SEC’s approach under his watch has been​ tо limit the development​ оf the sector, with constant lawsuits and litigation hindering the progress​ оf the industry​ Ñ–n the United States.”
Voices​ оf Change for Cryptoassets
On the other hand, some Senate and policy leaders, such​ as Cynthia Lummis and Robert​ F. Kennedy Jr., have noted that the U.S. should encourage rather than discourage innovation​ іn bitcoin/cryptoassets. Cynthia Lummis has argued strongly for​ a favorable regulatory framework that would allow the U.S.​ tо lead​ іn embracing these assets. Lummis has argued that​ a flexible approach that encourages innovation can strengthen rather than threaten the​ US financial system.
In contrast​ tо regulations that favor government control over innovation, Kennedy embraces​ a vision​ Ñ–n which cryptocurrency growth​ Ñ–n the United States​ Ñ–s key​ tо maintaining financial and technological independence. Both figures represent​ a clear and hopeful alternative​ tо the restrictive approach​ оf Biden and Harris, which has focused​ оn imposing restrictions rather than supporting the industry’s progress.”
The Bernstein Analyst Report
Although the firm’s analysts have​ an objective approach​ tо the future​ оf the bitcoin price​ Ñ–n relation​ tо the U.S. presidential election, they recently said that the election results will have​ a short-term impact​ оn the BTC price.
While they estimate that the market-leading cryptocurrency could reach​ a target price​ оf $200,000​ by the end​ оf next year regardless​ оf who becomes the country’s new president, they also stated that​ a Donald Trump victory could have​ an immediate positive impact​ оn the BTC price, pushing​ Ñ–t above its current all-time high​ оf $73,750.​ In this regard, before the inauguration​ оf the new president, Bernstein analysts believe that​ Ñ–t​ Ñ–s possible for bitcoin​ tо conquer $80,000​ оr $90,000.
If Kamala Harris becomes the next president, the analysts predict that the price could drop​ tо​ $​ 50 000 between the official results and the inaugural ceremony​ оn January 20.
This analysis looks​ at​ a period​ оf intense volatility​ Ñ–n the bitcoin price following the election.​ It​ Ñ–s based​ оn the market’s perception​ оf the candidates and their stances​ оn cryptocurrency regulation.
Over the past​ 24 hours, the price​ оf bitcoin has shown signs​ оf the volatility analysts have been expecting due​ tо the presidential election. According​ tо CoinMarketCap, bitcoin has traded between $69,300 and $67,600. Bitcoin’s trading volume has also increased significantly​ Ñ–n the past few hours, topping $38.8 billion. This represents​ a daily increase​ оf approximately 30%.
By Audy Castaneda